Jump to content

250 Larvling Statistics since 27.1.2


Recommended Posts

There are 16 Kuva weapons so, each of them has a 6,25% chance to drop. Here are the statistics on 250 Larvlings after 27.1.2.

  • Ogris           - 29 (11,6%)
  • Karak           - 25 (10%)
  • Brakk           - 23 (9,2%)
  • Kohm           - 20 (8%)
  • Stubbas       - 18 (7,2%)
  • Drakgoon    - 16 (6,4%)
  • Hind             - 15 (6%)
  • Quartakk     - 14 (5,6%)
  • Kraken         - 13 (5,2%)
  • Tonkor         - 12 (4,8%)
  • Nukor          - 12 (4,8%)
  • Bramma       - 12 (4,8%)
  • Shildeg        - 12 (4,8%)
  • Ayanga        - 10 (4%)
  • Seer             - 10 (4%)
  • Chakkhurr    - 9 (3,6%)

I'll keep updating this post with future Larvlings just for fun.

This is the archived post on 200 Larvlings 

 

/Foo

Edited by Foo_Prime
  • Like 7
Link to post
Share on other sites

Im only at 60... on ps4... 

I guess I need tox ephemera.... but I like doing murmurs with people.  It can be good way to grind focus.  But im at the point where I dont care what weapon the lichs have,  I just take whatever lol.  

Link to post
Share on other sites

Unless you specifically try to get an Ephemera you should generally kill a Larvling with a Frame that would get you a Toxin weapon for either Corrosive or Viral.

/Foo

Edited by Foo_Prime
Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Foo_Prime said:

Unless you specifically try to get an Ephemera you should generally kill a Larvling with a Frame that would get you a Toxin weapon for either Corrosive or Viral.

/Foo

Heat is also a good option. Viral + heat gives you a little armor removal to go with your damage stacking. And in case you don’t like slash builds, corrosive + heat lets you take armor strip to 90%.

Some people also like to go with a magnetic base for a condition overload primer.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
Il y a 2 heures, Foo_Prime a dit :

There are 16 Kuva weapons so, each of them has a 6,25% chance to drop. Here are the statistics on 250 Larvlings after 27.1.2.

It is a bit too unreliable at 250. Drop rates may have been ninja changed in the past and as there are 16 possible outcomes it really would need more than 250 to get a reliable probability weight, I'm not sure your rates are truelly representative. I got a lot of stubbas but I don't recall getting that much ogris compared to the other ones.

However it is promising knowing that worst rate is 3% and at 2mn per larvling spawn it should not take more than 1 hour to get the proc you need on average for your "worst" one.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, ReddyDisco said:

huh Chakkhurr  is that rare? so i must have won the lottery since my first very one was a 58% rad chakkurr

it's RNGesus so your results may vary... vastly!

/Foo

Link to post
Share on other sites

RNG at its best. 6 last larvlings offered me Kuva Seer, 20+ before that was either Kraken or Quartakk with a  single Ayanga. And i need only Kuva Kohm to complete Kuva weapons. On the other hand i completed all ephemeras in like ten liches before chances were improved. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Yeah, in my case, the results are way too different.

I've only encountered a Ogris once, but Seers are rather common for me. Ofc, I haven't been keeping count. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
On 2020-10-24 at 4:30 AM, (PS4)haphazardlynamed said:

so based on the expected margin of error for a sample of 250.... they're basically all equal probability.

Unsurprisingly, math still works :)

Although tbh, after 250 samples, I didn't expect one weapon to have 3 times more chances than the bottom 3.

/Foo 

Link to post
Share on other sites

eh interesting, time to run a chi-square test

H0(null hypothesis): Every weapon have the same probability

H1(alternative hypothesis): Every weapon does not have the same probability

unknown.png

so we get a p-value of 0.004682. We reject the null hypothesis. Not every weapon have the same probability (ie, some are more likely to appear than others)

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 2020-10-23 at 3:05 AM, Foo_Prime said:

There are 16 Kuva weapons so, each of them has a 6,25% chance to drop. Here are the statistics on 250 Larvlings after 27.1.2.

  • Ogris           - 29 (11,6%)
  • Karak           - 25 (10%)
  • Brakk           - 23 (9,2%)
  • Kohm           - 20 (8%)
  • Stubbas       - 18 (7,2%)
  • Drakgoon    - 16 (6,4%)
  • Hind             - 15 (6%)
  • Quartakk     - 14 (5,6%)
  • Kraken         - 13 (5,2%)
  • Tonkor         - 12 (4,8%)
  • Nukor          - 12 (4,8%)
  • Bramma       - 12 (4,8%)
  • Shildeg        - 12 (4,8%)
  • Ayanga        - 10 (4%)
  • Seer             - 10 (4%)
  • Chakkhurr    - 9 (3,6%)

I'll keep updating this post with future Larvlings just for fun.

This is the archived post on 200 Larvlings 

 

/Foo

Welp! I guess I got a long way to get that that Kuva Chakkur 😢

Link to post
Share on other sites
On 2020-10-26 at 3:39 AM, Goat_with_thousand_young said:

Welp! I guess I got a long way to get that that Kuva Chakkur

At the end, Chakkhurr might become the most dropped weapon for you. In other words, its all RNG!

/Foo

Edited by Foo_Prime
Link to post
Share on other sites

Kept track for myself when i was farming some of the missing kuva weapons for mastery (only 89 Samples as i finished them after that)

Farmed those Larvling until i got a weapon i didnt already have. Than repeated until i got them all.

Name - Amount - Percentage

Hind 13 14,61
Tonkor 10 11,24
Ayanga 8 8,99
Shildeg 8 8,99
Twin Stubbas 8 8,99
Ogris 6 6,74
Karak 5 5,62
Nukor 5 5,62
Seer 5 5,62
Brakk 4 4,49
Chakkhurr 3 3,37
Drakgoon 3 3,37
Kohm 3 3,37
Kraken 3 3,37
Quartakk 3 3,37
Bramma 2 2,25

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...