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Comparison of ephemera drop rate from liches vs sisters.


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13 minutes ago, Stalker_says_hello said:

Still collecting data but out of 25 liches I got 8 ephemeras. And out of 7 sisters no ephemera... 

You've just been insanely lucky then.  Out of nearly the same number of liches, I have two ephemera.

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PSA: 20% drop chance doesn't mean that you'll get the ephemera 1 out of every 5 tries. It means that, every time you try, your odds of getting it are 1 in 5. They might sound similar, but they are very different.

The latter is, in a very literal sense, how most games handle probability.

The former is called Leniency Mechanics, and those don't exist in Warframe.

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Just now, Paranoicon said:

PSA: 20% drop chance doesn't mean that you'll get the ephemera 1 out of every 5 tries. It means that, every time you try, your odds of getting it are 1 in 5. They might sound similar, but they are very different.

The latter is, in a very literal sense, how most games handle probability.

The former is called Leniency Mechanics, and those don't exist in Warframe.

Or a more cynical way to look at it to avoid getting your hopes up:

Every time you roll, you have an 80% chance of NOT getting an ephemera. 

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