Comparison of ephemera drop rate from liches vs sisters.

[Stalker_says_hello]

Still collecting data but out of 25 liches I got 8 ephemeras. And out of 7 sisters no ephemera... 

[Tesseract7777]

AFAIK, it is the same percentage chance. 

You are just dealing with rng. 

[EmberStar]

13 minutes ago, Stalker_says_hello said:

Still collecting data but out of 25 liches I got 8 ephemeras. And out of 7 sisters no ephemera... 

You've just been insanely lucky then.  Out of nearly the same number of liches, I have two ephemera.

[Paranoicon]

PSA: 20% drop chance doesn't mean that you'll get the ephemera 1 out of every 5 tries. It means that, every time you try, your odds of getting it are 1 in 5. They might sound similar, but they are very different.

The latter is, in a very literal sense, how most games handle probability.

The former is called Leniency Mechanics, and those don't exist in Warframe.

[Tesseract7777]

Just now, Paranoicon said:

PSA: 20% drop chance doesn't mean that you'll get the ephemera 1 out of every 5 tries. It means that, every time you try, your odds of getting it are 1 in 5. They might sound similar, but they are very different.

The latter is, in a very literal sense, how most games handle probability.

The former is called Leniency Mechanics, and those don't exist in Warframe.

Or a more cynical way to look at it to avoid getting your hopes up:

Every time you roll, you have an 80% chance of NOT getting an ephemera. 

[xcrimsonlegendx]

Its the same percentage, RNG is just a pain in the ass. Plus that sample size is way to small to provide any meaningful data.

I went though 16 impact sisters before I got the ephemera, then my next 3 all had ephemeras.

[Currilicious]

I lost count of how many liches. Maybe upwards of 50. I cycle through larvalings for either a weapon I want or an ephemera. Guess what, I only got 2 ephemera from liches lol.