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Does Loki Prime's Chassis Bp Drop Rate Increase Every Rotation?


Question

Posted (edited)

After some glitch, I somehow lost my Loki Prime Chassis BP. I've ran around 50-55 Tower 1 Survival dry runs since then and I realize it is sort of late but I would like to know if it is worthwhile running 40-60 minute runs. Does the drop rate remain the same every twenty minutes? I got my first Chassis on the 40 minute mark and that's why I'm curious. On a side note though, I am beginning to lose my sanity. :(

 

Edit: Thanks for all the replies, finally got it after ~75? runs. Got myself two mastery ranks, few thousand mods and 500k alloy plates. XD

Edited by Vzaeyth

13 answers to this question

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Guest Shibboleet
Posted

It probably doesn't, because there is no real reason to increase the % chance. Imagine playing Warframe for the first time; For what reason should an item have a higher chance than others on the 2nd-3rd time of the rotation?

Posted

i think its completely random because i ran it yesterday and we got 2 loki prime chassis in 1 run and left at 40min 

Wow, pls, RNGesus.

Posted

One patch supposedly made it so you can't get the same reward from the same mission more than twice. If that's true, then technically the chance get something should get bigger every time you don't get it.

Posted

you always have a set probability to obtain an item, say, 5% chance.

 

each time you "roll", aka get a rotation C reward, you have this 5% chance.

 

Statistically speaking, the expected value is that you'll get 5 times the desired reward every 100 tries

 

in other words, it's VERY unlikely that you'll keep NOT getting the reward 1,000,000 times in a row (just like it's very unlikely that you'll get tails 5000 times in a row when flipping a coin, in spite of it being a 50% chance every flip)

 

so just keep trying, don't believe in RNGesus, believe in this wonderful concept called "expected value"

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