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Can I have some help with Math? Hypothetical scenario about status-chance.


TwiceDead
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So, from the wiki the calculation for status-chance is  Status Chance = 1 − (1 − Chance per Pellet)Number of Pellets , right?


But here's my hypothetical scenario... What if you had a different status-chance for each pellet?The original forum assumes the status-chance for every pellet is the same.

So, say you fire 4 pellets, each one has a different status-chance... 

Status-Chance per-pellet: 
Pellet 1 : 10%
Pellet 2 : 15%
Pellet 3 : 20%
Pellet 4 : 25%

How would would the formula look now? Do you just use the average number instead? (0.10+0.15+0.20+0.25) / 4 = 0.175?

So..
1 - (1 - 0.175)^4 =
1 - 0.825^4 = 
1 - 0.4632 = 0.5368?
0.5368 x 100 = 53.58? 

I am asking because I don't know for sure, and I would like to... Planning to take up math after new-years, as I am horrible at it. Still fun to try though. 

EDIT: Redid some stuff to clarify, since I used the wrong numbers to begin with... D'oh. 

Edited by TwiceDead
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the formula from wikia is :

Status Chance = 1 − (1 − Chance per Pellet)Number of Pellets

so lets say your stats is 10%

and number of pellets shot is 10

status chance

= 1 - ( 1 - 0.1)^ 10

= 1 - (0.9) ^ 10

= 1 - 0.3487

= 0.6513

= 65.13%

 

Maths lesson :

1. In probability

1 = 100%

0.1 = 10%

2. Always do what is inside the bracket 1st

3. Always do things that have bracket

4. Then only do things wihout bracket

 

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