Renegade343 Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 So I was blowing up Kubrow Dens on Earth to obtain Kubrow Eggs, and I was getting numb in my mind. So, I started to time myself, and calculate the average of Kubrow Dens destroyed in five minutes (solo option). I took five trials, and obtained the values: 5 3 6 5 4 And so, the mean is: (5+3+6+5+4)/5 = 4.6 And then, since I was thinking about multiples of 25 while I was playing, I then asked myself this question: I destroy Kubrow Dens at an average rate of 4.6 per five minutes, independent of each interval. What is the probability I can destroy 25 Kubrow Dens? And so, since I have identified this question as requiring Poisson distribution to solve (events are independent of each other, and of each interval, and I known the average rate), I attempted the question: X ~ Po(4.6) P(X = r) = ([e^-m]*[m^r])/r! (where m = average rate) P(X = 25) = ([e^-4.6]*[4.6^25])/25! = 2.40 * 10^-11 Quite a low chance, no? And Vay Hek really likes his Poissons. And I am not sorry. At all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarEdge7 Posted September 11, 2014 Share Posted September 11, 2014 So I was blowing up Kubrow Dens on Earth to obtain Kubrow Eggs, and I was getting numb in my mind. So, I started to time myself, and calculate the average of Kubrow Dens destroyed in five minutes (solo option). I took five trials, and obtained the values: 5 3 6 5 4 And so, the mean is: (5+3+6+5+4)/5 = 4.6 And then, since I was thinking about multiples of 25 while I was playing, I then asked myself this question: I destroy Kubrow Dens at an average rate of 4.6 per five minutes, independent of each interval. What is the probability I can destroy 25 Kubrow Dens? And so, since I have identified this question as requiring Poisson distribution to solve (events are independent of each other, and of each interval, and I known the average rate), I attempted the question: X ~ Po(4.6) P(X = r) = ([e^-m]*[m^r])/r! (where m = average rate) P(X = 25) = ([e^-4.6]*[4.6^25])/25! = 2.40 * 10^-11 Quite a low chance, no? And Vay Hek really likes his Poissons. And I am not sorry. At all. Dafudge is this e.e" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Renegade343 Posted September 11, 2014 Author Share Posted September 11, 2014 Dafudge is this e.e" A type of discrete probability distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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