VladYvhv Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 When I started trying to crack radiant Lith N11 relics, I had 28 relics (all basic), so farmed void traces and set about ranking up N11s to Radiant. I've gone through this process with 15 of them, and every single one of them has yielded a common reward, over the past couple of days/nights. It would be a bit comical if it wasn't so infuriating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakkhar Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 There is nothing weird about it. in single Rad probabilities are 50/40/10. So half the time you get commons. With 15 relics in a row that is 0,5^15 If RNGesus is not happy with you just stop and do something else for a while. Come back later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unmutual Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 my record of "only common relics" is like 63 in a row iirc (between 60 and 70 for sure) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VladYvhv Posted September 30, 2022 Author Share Posted September 30, 2022 Update: 23 radiant relics down, no chassis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hobie-wan Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 10 hours ago, Zakkhar said: There is nothing weird about it. in single Rad probabilities are 50/40/10. So half the time you get commons. With 15 relics in a row that is 0,5^15 That's not how it works. Each try is 50%. The previous tries have no bearing on the current one and you can't even start to say "but the tabulated results aren't near 50%" until you have thousands of results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Verreater Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 welcome to rng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakkhar Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 4 hours ago, Hobie-wan said: That's not how it works. Each try is 50%. The previous tries have no bearing on the current one and you can't even start to say "but the tabulated results aren't near 50%" until you have thousands of results. I do not think you understand probability. You may have just learned some artificial rules by heart. The previous tries have no bearing on the next one and the probability is always 50%. However a chance of not getting anything but common with 2 rolls is 0,5*0,5=0,25 or (1-0,5)*(1-0,5) to be exact because we are counting fails, not the successes. Both rolls need to fail and that happens 25% of the time. Other options are both succeed 25% as well and 1 success - 50% (if one is success, the other to fail is 50%). In 3 rolls, its 0,5^3=1,25 and in 15 rolls it is 0,5^15, just as i wrote. Have you checked wiki recently on any warframe/weapon that drops in mission rotation? You would notice certain columns and corresponding numbers: https://warframe.fandom.com/wiki/Khora PS: I once had a 53 streak of failing 10% drop chance item while getting plenty of the lower chance ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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