So I Hear Some Players Say The Tiberon (Unmodded) Has 7.5% Status Chance Per Click...

[Renegade343]

And I am here to say all said players got their mathematics wrong. 

 

Using binomial distribution (look it up, it is dead easy), the probability of getting at least one status effect for one click from a Tiberon is: 

 

X ~ B (3, 0.025)

P(X = r) = 3Cr * (0.025^r) * (0.975^[3-r])

Let r ≥ 1)

P (X ≥ 1) = Σ(r = 1, up to 3) (3Cr * (0.025^r) * (0.975^[3-r]))

P (X ≥ 1) = (3C1 * 0.025 * 0.975^2) + (3C2 * (0.025^2) * 0.975) + (3C3 * (0.025^3))

P (X ≥ 1) = 0.073 = 7.3%

 

Admittedly, it was a lucky break for those players this time. 

[[DE]Momaw]

*stares blankly at greek*

 

...   So, still pointless to build for status yeah?

[Airut]

I still don't get why anyone would like to mod for status chance even if Tiberon had higher base status chance. I mean, look at all that damn damage!

 

Great work with the maths!

[Adaptor-Face]

note: dont add the mods % to 7.3, add it to the original 2,5%, then re do this math

[noveltyhero]

renegade do more of these! ^^

Edited October 3, 2014 by noveltyhero

[Renegade343]

note: dont add the mods % to 7.3, add it to the original 2,5%, then re do this math

Note: Read the title again. 

[Shafilp]

Ouch.....that math

[Ailissa]

note: dont add the mods % to 7.3, add it to the original 2,5%, then re do this math

 

SO I HEAR SOME PLAYERS SAY THE TIBERON (UNMODDED) HAS 7.5% STATUS CHANCE PER CLICK...

 

There is a word in the title that you seem to have missed.

[Airut]

note: dont add the mods % to 7.3, add it to the original 2,5%, then re do this math

 

You have the formulas right there in the thread. If you want to calculate the status chance per click when you have status mods equipped, just replace the 0,025 with the probability that your own Tiberon has.

[Renegade343]

SO I HEAR SOME PLAYERS SAY THE TIBERON (UNMODDED) HAS 7.5% STATUS CHANCE PER CLICK...

 

There is a word in the title that you seem to have missed.

 

Unmodded. Tell me, what is unmodded?

[MercurialAirSpectre]

so bottom line, nay for status build on tiberon ey?

[Renegade343]

so bottom line, nay for status build on tiberon ey?

Actually, let me go off and calculate the maximum status chance it can obtain. 

[SSI_Kryptix]

My brain has started disfunctioning.

[Ailissa]

Unmodded. Tell me, what is unmodded?

 

My Fallout 3 at the moment because I had to reinstall it.