Krases Posted June 10, 2018 Share Posted June 10, 2018 So I am at ten chassis to 0 barrels. SOMETHING is broken. I know its easy to say "well thats just unlucky!" but look again. Something is not right about this drop. Please just do something before all my hair is gone. Maybe just give it a special tag so we can trade for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hellodownthere Posted June 10, 2018 Share Posted June 10, 2018 Ceres/Exta (Assassination) Miter Barrel Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Blade Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Handle Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Chassis Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Blueprint Uncommon (16.67%) Twin Gremlins Blueprint Uncommon (16.67%) you're just unlucky... very unlucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krases Posted June 10, 2018 Author Share Posted June 10, 2018 Even unluckier! Weight the drop tables devs. This is crazy! I also have 4 twin gremlins blueprints. Thats 31 runs so far, not a single barrel. 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nerfinator6 Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 On 2018-06-10 at 1:37 PM, hellodownthere said: Ceres/Exta (Assassination) Miter Barrel Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Blade Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Handle Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Chassis Uncommon (16.67%) Miter Blueprint Uncommon (16.67%) Twin Gremlins Blueprint Uncommon (16.67%) you're just unlucky... very unlucky I'm sorry, but that's wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nerfinator6 Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 On 2018-06-11 at 1:16 AM, Krases said: Even unluckier! Weight the drop tables devs. This is crazy! I also have 4 twin gremlins blueprints. Thats 31 runs so far, not a single barrel. 31. I got to over 30 chassis' before I got 1 blade. Please elaborate on how that's "fair" drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hellodownthere Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, nerfinator6 said: I'm sorry, but that's wrong. no that's right, that's DE's drop table that they released https://n8k6e2y6.ssl.hwcdn.net/repos/hnfvc0o3jnfvc873njb03enrf56.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nerfinator6 Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 Just now, hellodownthere said: no that's right, that's DE's drop table that they released https://n8k6e2y6.ssl.hwcdn.net/repos/hnfvc0o3jnfvc873njb03enrf56.html As much as I'd like to believe that, evidence says otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hellodownthere Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 (edited) 1 minute ago, nerfinator6 said: snip This list represents data and drops from the PC version of the Free-to-play game Warframe. That's right - Warframe is free! Which means our drop system is designed to maintain a balance. Our free players can earn the game's content, and our paying players who support us with purchases usually get first dibs on the content by using Platinum (which can be traded to free players)! As far as we can tell... we are the first developers to post something quite like this - correct us if we're wrong! Let's hope it works out for us and we may start a trend. This is automatically generated from our internal data but this data comes with no guarantees -- do not expect it to be comprehensive for how complex the game is. This list will be maintained by an automated process combined with manual publishing with Updates (not all Hotfixes). We update often and new game systems may or may not be covered here. This list can be discussed here. Know a free-to-play game that provides official drop rates in a different way? We'd love to know. Thank you for playing Warframe. here's the evidence. Edited June 13, 2018 by hellodownthere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nerfinator6 Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, hellodownthere said: This list represents data and drops from the PC version of the Free-to-play game Warframe. That's right - Warframe is free! Which means our drop system is designed to maintain a balance. Our free players can earn the game's content, and our paying players who support us with purchases usually get first dibs on the content by using Platinum (which can be traded to free players)! As far as we can tell... we are the first developers to post something quite like this - correct us if we're wrong! Let's hope it works out for us and we may start a trend. This is automatically generated from our internal data but this data comes with no guarantees -- do not expect it to be comprehensive for how complex the game is. This list will be maintained by an automated process combined with manual publishing with Updates (not all Hotfixes). We update often and new game systems may or may not be covered here. This list can be discussed here. Know a free-to-play game that provides official drop rates in a different way? We'd love to know. Thank you for playing Warframe. here's the evidence. No point repeating yourself, i've read through that entire page before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
corallein Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 Someone doesn't know how statistics and probability works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hobie-wan Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 If you played to 1000 drops of all the parts, the percentages would probably work out that you'd have about the same number of each part. The smaller the sample size, the more off kilter it will look. If you made 6 runs and were lucky enough to manage to get 5 of the parts, you shouldn't reasonably expect the 6th run to get the 6th part. That's the Gambler's Fallacy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
novalery Posted June 13, 2018 Share Posted June 13, 2018 (edited) Theoritical and experimental probability can be different. at one time i kill ambulas three times back to back and got three different excal parts Edited June 13, 2018 by novalery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krases Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 Also, theres always the possibility a mistake was made in the programming of the drop table for that mission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-AoN-CanoLathra- Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 Considering the fact that I too had to do a lot more runs to get the barrel, it does seem that there might be a pattern here. We would have to look closer, though, and get a larger sample size to be sure. Also, to everyone quoting the drop tables, remember: just because they have weighted the drops to be equal doesn't mean that the algorithm picking the drops can't be flawed. The Drop Tables are based off of what DE tells the algorithm to do, not off of what the algorithm does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARKANOiiDe Posted August 6, 2018 Share Posted August 6, 2018 (edited) 7 Blueprints, 5 Blades, 5 Handles, 6 Chassis, 0 Barrel https://imgur.com/a/H7Udh5E Edited August 6, 2018 by ARKANOiiDe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeaRForCE Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 If the parts can be trade, it will be easier for us, i run for 30runs with no chassic. It starts to get boring. Can u somehow fix this, DE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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